Entry to Sep lived up to the bearish expectation, and the short positioning in stocks proved so far correct (and the same in Intraday Signals), but the yields upswing looks to have maxed out all it easily could, with 10y making it to 4.27%. I doubt it would manage to peek above 4.33% again, but making two heads for head and shoulders fans is always possible, even if less likely that yields starting to move back towards 4.20s%. USD is certainly in an upswing as if they were, but I would disregard currencies today in favor of Treasuries.
And the short-term ones (3m T-bills) indicate increasing probability of a (Nov, not Sep) hike – not only based on the recent oil prices moves, diesel and gasoline implications. While TLT with TLH are to swing higher over the nearest weeks, the 10y is arguably the single one to watch for tech and precious with base metals implications – breaking below the 4.08% would be very much required for gold and silver turning back up. Of course, the only question is what kind of turmoil, if any, that is accompanied by in tech and S&P 500. As I explained in the Aug evaluation part in the extended video, bears shouldn‘t have too high expectations – relief on no Sep hike with not yet crashing economy, this FOMC day, is ahead.
ISM services PMI is ahead, my call published – and I‘ll be commenting amply on both intraday Telegram channels – from stocks to real assets – and of course on Twitter!
Keep enjoying the lively Twitter feed via keeping my tab open at all times (notifications on aren’t enough) – combine with subscribing to my Youtube channel, and of course Telegram that always delivers my extra intraday calls (head off to Twitter to talk to me there), but getting the key daily analytics right into your mailbox is the bedrock.
So, make sure you‘re signed up for the free newsletter and make use of both Twitter and Telegram – benefit and find out why I’m the most blocked market analyst and trader on Twitter.
Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com) – today‘s full scale article contains 4 of them.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Outlook
It would be tough for the bears to keep this momentum really – given what I wrote in the preceding chart commentary.
Gold, Silver and Miners
The caption says it all – lean times in precious metals ahead unless and until yields turn – undershooting incoming data expectations would do the trick, and prevent rates from rising again. Still a long way till Sep 19-20 FOMC, so upswing expectations must be sharply tempered over the near term. Silver leading lower is what the bulls don‘t want to see – yet see so lately.
Thank you for having read today‘s free analysis, which is a small part of my site‘s daily premium Monica’s Trading Signals covering all the markets you’re used to (stocks, bonds, gold, silver, miners, oil, copper, cryptos), and of the daily premium Monica’s Stock Signals presenting stocks and bonds only. Both publications feature real-time trade calls and intraday updates.
While at my site, you can subscribe to the free Monica‘s Insider Club for instant publishing notifications and other content useful for making your own trade moves.
Turn notifications on, and have my Twitter profile (tweets only) opened in a fresh tab so as not to miss a thing – such as extra intraday opportunities. Thanks for all your support that makes this great ride possible!
Stock Trading Signals
Gold Trading Signals
Oil Trading Signals
Copper Trading Signals
Bitcoin Trading Signals
All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice.
Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind.
Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make.
Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.